- January 21, 2019
- Posted by: admin
- Category: Eduction
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A bull market is associated with increasing investor confidence, and increased investing in anticipation of future price increases (capital gains). A bullish trend in the stock market often begins before the general economy shows clear signs of recovery. It is a win-win situation for the investors.
A bear market is a general decline in the stock market over a period of time. It is a transition from high investor optimism to widespread investor fear and pessimism. According to The Vanguard Group, “While there’s no agreed-upon definition of a bear market, one generally accepted measure is a price decline of 20% or more over at least a two-month period.
A market top (or market high) is usually not a dramatic event. The market has simply reached the highest point that
it will, for some time (usually a few years). It is retroactively defined as market participants are not aware of it as it
happens. A decline then follows, usually gradually at first and later with more rapidity.
A market bottom is a trend reversal, the end of a market downturn, and precedes the beginning of an upward moving
trend (bull market).
It is very difficult to identify a bottom (referred to by investors as “bottom picking”) while it is occurring. The upturn
following a decline is often short-lived and prices might resume their decline. This would bring a loss for the
investor who purchased stock(s) during a misperceived or “false” market bottom.
Baron Rothschild is said to have advised that the best time to buy is when there is “blood in the streets“, i.e., when
the markets have fallen drastically and investor sentiment is extremely negative.